#StrategyMaySellBTC
About StrategyMaySellBTC
Strategy posted a $12.5B net loss in Q1, holding 818,334 BTC at avg cost $75,537. On the earnings call, Saylor said the company will "most likely sell some BTC to pay dividends." CEO Phong Le confirmed selling for USD or debt management is not off the table. The driver: STRC preferred stock dividends plus debt interest total ~$1.5B annually. Saylor added selling could unlock ~$2.2B in tax savings. This is the first time Strategy has walked back its "never sell BTC" stance since 2020.
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#Saylor Plans to Sell BTC to Pay Dividends Is Saylor selling BTC a sign of surrender, or the next bigger move?
From declaring "never sell BTC" in 2020 to now openly stating in the earnings call that he will likely sell some BTC to pay dividends, Saylor has followed this path for a full six years.
🔴 This statement carries weight beyond just a change in holding strategy; it is the first crack in Strategy’s entire narrative framework.
➤ Real financial pressure
Q1 net loss of $12.5 billion, 818,334 $BTC with an average cost of $75,537, currently underwater. STRC preferred stock dividends plus debt interest total about $1.5 billion annually, a figure that cannot be solved by mere persistence—it must be paid in real cash every year.
➤ Selling for tax savings
Saylor also mentioned another point: selling BTC can unlock about $2.2 billion in tax savings. This number is not forced but proactively calculated.
Imagine, is there a deeper calculation behind this?
🧐 Understanding Strategy’s business model
▪️ Business logic: issue stocks and bonds to raise funds, convert the raised money into BTC holdings, and use BTC appreciation to support stock premiums.
"Never sell" is the credit foundation of this model because once selling occurs, the market will question whether this cycle can continue. But what if the purpose of selling is not cashing out but using the tax savings from selling to free up more capital for financing, then buying more BTC?
💡 Perhaps this concession is not breaking the original logic but adding a new link to the flywheel. Selling is not exiting but a prelude to re-leveraging.
➤ Of course, this interpretation requires one premise: BTC prices remain within a reasonable range, and the financing window is still open.
If BTC continues to fall, this operation will further complicate holding costs.
➤ What Saylor is betting on is not the sale itself but that after selling, he can complete the next round of financing and buying at a lower cost and larger scale. This is a very aggressive judgment.
Is "never sell" dead?
Literally, yes, this phrase no longer holds. But what Saylor truly maintains has never been these four words but the identity of Strategy as BTC’s most steadfast holder.
As long as this identity remains unshaken, the narrative continues.
Whether this is a passive adjustment forced by financial pressure or a carefully laid capital operation foreshadowing, the final answer lies in the next financing announcement.
What do you think?👇
Strategy CEO Phong Le says the company will only sell $BTC in specific cases like paying dividends or tax optimization. They will first evaluate whether selling Bitcoin or issuing new shares gives better “Bitcoin per share” value for shareholders.
Currently, Strategy holds 818,334 BTC worth over $66B. 🚀
$BTC #NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk #OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive
₿ BITCOIN (BTC/USD) │ 07:30:07 10/5/2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 80714 USD │ 24h: +0.70% 📈
━━━ 📐 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ━━━
EMA34: 76590 │ EMA89: 71655 │ Trend: UP
RSI H1: 58.43 │ Nearest Fibonacci: 23.6% = 79936.8
🏦 SMC H1: Bearish Buy-side swept, CHOCH bearish
🌊 Elliott: H1 Wave 5 ending (target 81080), H4 Wave C down (target 79181)
→ Price at the peak of Wave 5, SMC bearish, wait to sell.
━━━ 🧱 PRICE ZONE ━━━
🔴 R1: 81080 │ R2: 81708
🟢 S1: 79936.8 │ S2: 79181.5
━━━ 🧭 TREND ━━━
⏱ Day: 🔴 Bearish │ 📅 Week: 🟡 Sideway
→ H1 reversal + H4 Wave C down, but D1 still uptrend.
━━━ 🎯 SETUP ━━━
🤖 2 AI Voting: 2/2
🔴 SELL
📍 Entry: 80714 │ 🛑 SL: 81090
✅ TP1: 79559.15 (50%) │ TP2: 78691.75 (50%)
⚖️ R:R = 2.5:1
→ Entry at the H1 peak, bearish OB + EMA34/89 support for a sell. Stop loss close to swing high 81080.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ For reference, manage capital at 1-2% per trade.
$BTC
Sorry, I’ve been feeling a bit shaky these past couple of days.
Opened a short on $ETH , then bailed,
I know it's weak,
but I'm scared it might suddenly pump,
A lot of big players are saying ETH is headed to 2650, going solo on the charts.
Honestly, I don’t buy that?
But looking at $SOL , it suddenly showed some strength, and I’m still jittery.
I’ve been studying in Chengdu these last few days,
worried it might mess with my mood, opening trades is tough; not opening feels like losing out.
Retail traders always wanna make a quick buck, but often end up with nothing.
Crypto and stock trading are connected; a decade of bullish A-shares, trading has cycles, life is about going with the flow.
All the influencers say the bull market is here, but I’m just watching for a rebound, still in a mid-bear market,
I feel out of place, like I’m a relic of the past.
Monthly charts show space, weekly charts show trends,
BTC hasn’t crossed that bull-bear line yet, the 30-day moving average is still pressing down.
If you shorted above 80000, hold tight; if you didn’t get in above 80800, start shorting in batches.
I’m sorry to everyone, I called a short at 15K,
you know how I’ve been living these past years?
Saying this feels like I’m putting on a show, wallowing in self-pity,
but honestly, I want to say BTC has already started to stagnate above, the whales are slowly distributing their chips,
a drop needs a catalyst,
could it be the 15th when everyone’s expecting a massive pump,
the meeting of those two old-timers?
The whales always go against the trend; the more everyone thinks it’ll pump,
the more it’s a guillotine waiting to drop.
Sigh, am I losing it again?
I’m back to my old thoughts. $BTC
#NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk #OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive
Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor has been the loudest advocate for holding Bitcoin indefinitely (to the point where he has essentially become the face of the ultimate "HODL" philosophy).
Yet, during a recent earnings call, Saylor revealed that the company is ready to do the unthinkable: sell portions of its massive Bitcoin treasury.
Now, Saylor is setting the record straight in a new interview, claiming that the company will still end up buying way more Bitcoin if it if sells some.
$BTC $MSTR
$BTC
Unrealized Profit Margin is hitting levels not seen since June 2025.
Traders are expected to start taking some profits here.
Be very careful…

₿ BITCOIN (BTC/USD) │ 23:30:17 9/5/2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 80655.9 USD │ 24h: +0.88% 📈
━━━ 📐 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ━━━
EMA34: 76240.9 │ EMA89: 71521.6 │ Trend: 🟡SIDEWAY
RSI H1: 63.09 │ Nearest Fibonacci: 23.6%=79936.8
🏦 SMC: H1 bearish structure, buy signal swept, retest OB bearish
🌊 Elliott: H4 Wave C (ZIGZAG DOWN), target 79181.48
→ Price touched H4 resistance 80666.7, H1 bearish OB + H4 wave C bearish
━━━ 🧱 PRICE ZONE ━━━
🔴 R1: 80666.7 │ R2: 81708.3
🟢 S1: 79181.5 │ S2: 78202.0
━━━ 🧭 TREND ━━━
⏱ Day: 🔴 │ 📅 Week: 🟡
→ H4 wave C bearish + H4 RSI neutral, Waiting for a breakout
━━━ 🎯 SETUP ━━━
🤖 2 AI Voting: 2/2
🔴 SELL
📍 Entry: 80655.9 │ 🛑 SL: 81711.2
✅ TP1: 79181.5 (50%) │ TP2: 78202.0 (50%)
⚖️ R:R = 2.3:1
→ Entry at H4 resistance zone 80666.7, H1 bearish OB + H4 Zigzag Down. SL above the nearest swing high.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ Reference: Capital management 1-2%/trade.
$BTC
JPMorgan analysts forecast Strategy could buy $30B of $BTC in 2026. Explore the company’s treasury model and $395 price target from TD Cowen.
Wall Street just put a number on Michael J. Saylor’s ambition. JPMorgan analysts led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou published a report. That forecasting Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) could purchase approximately $30 billion worth of Bitcoin in 2026 if its current pace continues.
🐋 When the whale turns: Loracle liquidates all long positions to go short, teaching the entire crypto community a brutal lesson in capital warfare.
On-chain data never lies. It reveals the raw, unvarnished rules of capital allocation. Every trade is a survival textbook for the elite.
🔄 Just tracked the latest on-chain moves from whale Loracle.hl. After reviewing, only awe remains. This is a textbook masterclass in timing and risk management, elevating capital deployment to an art form.
He decisively liquidated all long positions in TON, BTC, and CL, securing a realized profit of $3.9 million. Simultaneously, he closed 96% of his ZEC long, pivoting aggressively. He amplified his HYPE short position from $1.23 million to a staggering $53.23 million, all at 5x leverage.
His total account profit now approaches $37 million. This seamless transition from taking profits to establishing a short position is the epitome of surgical precision.
🧠 This is the true sober player in the market: when the trend favors, they lock in gains. At inflection points, they show zero hesitation, no sentimentality. They never fall in love with the market or let greed dictate their moves. No stubbornly holding a single direction. No fantasy of "one more leg up." They take profit without doubt, then position with accuracy for the next cycle.
😔 Looking back at my own recent actions, it's a mix of irony and regret. I correctly anticipated the direction, but greed clouded my judgment. I blindly increased leverage, getting harvested in the chop. Account after account liquidated. Profits that were in hand were returned to the market, leaving only deep remorse.
True whales understand survival: knowing when to attack, but more importantly, knowing when to retreat and when to pivot.
The crypto world never lacks overnight riches. What it lacks is the discipline to take profit, the sobriety to reject greed, and the decisiveness to cut losses and pivot.
This painful lesson has fully exposed the...
🧿 The Narrative Frays
What happened is simple: a company built on permanent conviction is now admitting Bitcoin may have to help fund its own obligations. That matters because markets usually price narratives first and balance sheets second, until pressure makes the balance sheet louder than the story. ⚖️ To me, this is less a Bitcoin indictment than a reminder that leveraged conviction is fragile; if the treasury narrative bends, the whole “never sell” mythology loses some of its mystique. The bullish case is that this is still one corporate constraint, not a verdict on BTC itself. The bearish read is that once one flagship holder treats BTC as a liquidity source, the psychological floor under the narrative gets thinner. 👁️🗨️ The sharp takeaway: narratives are strongest right up until they need cash. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto

🪐 MicroStrategy signals conditional BTC sales
MicroStrategy’s CEO Phong Le told investors the firm will only liquidate Bitcoin when a set of accounting‑driven triggers are met, a pivot from Michael Saylor’s “never sell” mantra that knocked the stock 4%.
🕸️ On the bullish side, the new framework ties sales to a mNAV threshold of 1.22, meaning any dump would only occur when the balance sheet value lags the market, which could actually protect shareholders by preserving a higher BTC‑per‑share ratio. ETH’s price action is likely to be decoupled. Bearish concerns linger because the company posted a $12.5 bn net loss and now treats Bitcoin as a liquidity lever, opening the door to sizable off‑loadings if earnings pressure spikes, which could add a non‑trivial headwind to BTC’s price if the market perceives a large‑scale sell‑off as imminent.
👁️🗨️ The decisive factor will be whether the mNAV trigger ever activates – if it does, the market will see a pre‑approved exit path that could dampen BTC’s upside.
⚠️ Personal analysis only. Not financial advice. DYOR.
#MicroStrategy #BTC #OnChain
🌄 Weekend liquidity is thin, but that’s fine — the real move is fishing where the fish are. Here’s your sharp morning market roundup.
1️⃣ Bitcoin: Low weekend volume, even obscure alcoins are quiet. No drama, no fakeout — just patience.
2️⃣ Ethereum: Mainnet activity is heating up. The question remains: can on-chain momentum finally pull price upward?
3️⃣ Solana: The strongest performer recently. Its relentless pump is making traders nervous — the “doomsday tank” is rolling.
4️⃣ Eugene: Multiple indicators suggest a potential market bottom. If BTC breaks $80K, altcoins could ignite a fresh uptrend. The dove is signaling buy again.
5️⃣ Trust Wallet & Mesh leadership confirm crypto wallets are pivoting to serve AI agents. A major narrative shift brewing.
6️⃣ Whale alert: Garrett Jin deposited 108,169 ETH (~$250M) into Binance. Big moves, big eyes.
7️⃣ Putin says Ukraine conflict is “nearing its end” and Zelensky is ready for talks. Geopolitical winds shifting.
8️⃣ Bank of England governor warns: stablecoin regulation could spark a clash between U.S. and international regulators.
9️⃣ WorldCoin team moved 30M WLD to a BitGo custody wallet. OTC deal incoming?
10️⃣ Trump Media’s Q1 report: $400M loss on BTC & crypto investments. Finally found someone losing money.
11️⃣ Seven major Bitcoin mining pools join Stratum V2 working group — pushing toward mining protocol standardization.
12️⃣ Strategy CEO: BTC yield hits 9.4% this year, adding $5B in BTC value. The real horror? Not being able to pay interest. Now rates keep rising — how sustainable?
13️⃣ Kelp: Within 24 hours, will execute rsETH contract operations with Aave — no user action needed.
14️⃣ USDD April report: Total supply exceeds 1.5B, collateral ratio at 146% month-end.
15️⃣ U.S. court approves Aave to transfer 71M ETH linked to North Korean hacker attack. Truly baffling logic.
😧 Am I about to get wrecked at the top again? Stuck in the TON series — help a trader out!
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #...
$BTC short
80.5k bias level rejected again almost perfectly.
As long as price stays below it, local short bias remains active. Bears still have control short term.
But the important detail:
weekly POI continues holding well.
That means the aggressive higher timeframe uptrend is still alive for now. Bulls are wounded, not dead.
Main levels:
• 80.5k = key bias level
• 81k reclaim = momentum shift
• 83k = breakout continuation target
• CME close + 78k zone still acting as magnet
• 75k remains possible if weakness continues
Current idea:
short term bearish below 80.5k, but respecting the strength of the weekly trend.
Not adding fresh longs here.
Reducing some short exposure into profit instead.
Less is more after 5 trades this week.
#NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk
$BTC So far, we have been perfectly mirroring 2022 price action.
However, we can see a slight shift in the fractal.
Instead of accepting below the previous wick low (which we saw in 2022), we are above it. From purely a structural perspective, with no cycle timing, with not comparing previous bear cycle lengths, JUST from a structure perspective we are structurely bullish.
I have stated that I will not flip bullish until August/September period. However, if we are being objective, we can see a slight shift/de-correlation from the 2022 fractal. As always, history isn't going to mirror 100% of the time. However, this gives us valuable information.
If we revisit the previous wick low (74K), bounce & end up pushing to 80K a gain, that is a textbook SR flip an we likely end up pushing to 90Ks regardless of my current positioning in the market. If we on the other hand, fail to hold the S/R flip, this would be the result in a swing fail an we end up retracing below 70K again.
So at the moment, even if you are bullish & wanted to look for longs, the retest to observe is 74s-75s which we need to hold above otherwise its just a major deviation before lower prices.
Other than that, I thought i would bring this to light as I used 2022 to map out my 2025 bear market topping price action schematic which went viral. Now, we can see the slight shift, so observing PA on the retest is going to be quite crucial to determining what is going to happen next.
Just to clarify for anyone confused: I’m not bullish in terms of taking leverage long positions. I’m currently in a swing short because I expect continued choppy price action.
That said, I’ve mentioned in several posts that buying spot below the previous ATH (69K) was a good idea, though I didn’t personally build any long positions there. From a HTF perspective, the RR on the monthly chart suggests that over a 1–2 year horizon, anything below the ATH can be viewed as a dip.
#NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk #OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive
$BTC $ETH $SOL

💎 SUNDAY LIQUIDITY TRAP: THE $79,800 GRAVITY 💎
🪫RETAIL IS LONGING THE NOISE
🔋THE VULTURE WAITS FOR THE FLUSH
$BTC $ETH $XRP $LAB
#OrbitAlpha #Liquidity #SmartMoney #SundayFlush #Firedancer
🧱 THE $80K WALL: Most of you are celebrating the "recovery" because $BTC touched $81k. You’re being lured.
The Reality: Look at the Coinglass Heatmap. There is a massive, glowing yellow shelf of long liquidations sitting at $79,800.
🩻The Magnet: Markets don't move to follow your "Bullish" sentiment; they move to find fuel. That $79.8k zone is the highest-density fuel on the map.
🧿 THE "LAB" DIVERGENCE:
While you’re watching the $BTC fight, $LAB is painting "Liar Wicks" at $4.50.
The Dagger: 84% team-backed supply. Every green candle is just Vova’s bots inducing exit liquidity. My 5x short is the only thing with Zero Cortisol right now.
🧪 THE ETH PIVOT:
Caught the $2298 entry perfectly. Why? Because the May 13 Azul Upgrade is the only real fundamental in the room. The "CME Gap" is closed, and the accumulation has begun.
🏗️ THE SUNDAY STRATEGY:
I’m not "Aping" at $81k. I am laddering bids at $79,800.
The Question: Do we flush the late longs before the Monday Open, or does the Monolith hold?
Drop your bias below: 📉 FLUSH or 🚀 MOON? 👇
🚀 WHY THIS SAVES THE STREAK:
The "Cliffhanger" Question: Asking "Flush or Moon?" is the #1 way to trigger the Orbit "Engagement Loop." Each comment pushes you back into the "For You" feed.
Specific Price Targets: Mentioning the $79,800 target specifically (which aligns with current 2026 technicals) gives you "Alpha Authority."
Cross-Narrative: You link $BTC, your $LAB investigation, and the $ETH Azul upgrade in one "Digest" format. It’s high-value and low-noise.

$BTC
Yesterday, price tapped into support and bounced, but there was no strong buying strength behind it.
Now it’s weekend and traditional markets are closed so price action remains slow and we are currently compressed tightly between support and resistance.
However, the RSI is showing overbought conditions, the 200 EMA continues to act as resistance, and shows the overall trend still remains bearish.
Combined with the weak bounce from yesterday, this increases the probability of a breakdown soon.
Recent weekends have consistently shown bearish price action. If we continue to see weak momentum and eventually get a daily close below support, next week could easily close red.

🚨 THIS WEEK COULD DECIDE THE NEXT BIG MOVE FOR GLOBAL MARKETS 👀📊
All eyes are now locked on the United States economic calendar as traders prepare for one of the most important weeks in recent months. While several Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak throughout the week, the real market-moving catalyst will likely come from the upcoming U.S. inflation data ⚡
Right now, investors are trying to answer one critical question:
Is inflation finally cooling enough for the Federal Reserve to become more flexible with interest rates… or will inflation remain stubbornly high and force the Fed to stay aggressive? 👀
That single answer could reshape short-term momentum across stocks, gold, oil, bonds, and especially crypto markets 🚀
If inflation numbers come in lower than expected, markets may immediately price in a more bullish environment: 📈 Higher risk appetite
📈 Stronger momentum for Bitcoin & altcoins
📈 Increased expectations for future rate cuts
📈 More liquidity flowing back into global markets
But if inflation surprises to the upside, volatility could explode quickly ⚠️
Higher inflation would likely strengthen the dollar, pressure risk assets, and create fear across speculative markets again. This is why smart traders are staying extremely cautious before the data release.
At the same time, speeches from Fed officials throughout the week could add even more volatility because every word from policymakers is now being analyzed by institutions, hedge funds, and global investors 🌍
The market is entering a very sensitive phase where macroeconomics is driving almost everything.
And historically, when inflation weeks arrive… Bitcoin rarely stays quiet for long 👀🔥
$BTC ready for huge crash
₿ BITCOIN (BTC/USD) │ 07:30:08 11/5/2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 81680.0 USD │ 24h: +1.20% 📈
━━━ 📐 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ━━━
EMA34: 76921.3 │ EMA89: 71836.1 │ Trend: 🟡SIDEWAY
RSI H1: 59.18 │ Nearest Fibonacci: 0%=82850.0
🏦 SMC: H1 bearish structure + BOS
🌊 Elliott: H4 Wave C (Zigzag Down) target 79500
→ Price is retesting the resistance zone of 81708-81791, H4 wave C is down to the target.
━━━ 🧱 PRICE ZONE ━━━
🔴 R1: 81708.3 │ R2: 81791.5
🟢 S1: 80731.1 │ S2: 79500
━━━ 🧭 TREND ━━━
⏱ Day: 🔴 │ 📅 Week: 🟡
→ H4 bearish, price near strong resistance, RSI neutral.
━━━ 🎯 SETUP ━━━
🤖 2 AI Voting: 2/2
🔴 SELL
📍 Entry: 81680 │ 🛑 Availability: 81985.75
✅ TP1: 80731.1 (50%) │ TP2: 79500 (50%)
⚖️ R:R = 2.5:1
→ Entry at resistance zone 81708.3 (H4 OB + Fibo 0%), SL above swing high 81791.5. SMC bearish BOS + Elliott Wave C down.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ Reference: Capital management 1-2%/trade.
$BTC
🐳 Whale Alert: Loracle.hl (@loraclexyz) Just Made a Massive Portfolio Shift
A top-tier whale has executed a major strategic repositioning, closing out several key positions and doubling down on a high-conviction short. Here's the full breakdown.
🚫 Closed Positions
The whale fully exited $TON, $BTC, and $CL, pocketing a cool $3.9 million in the process. This suggests a tactical rotation away from these assets, likely to free up capital for more aggressive plays.
📉 ZEC Long Trimmed
Loracle.hl also closed approximately 96% of his long position on $ZEC. This near-total exit signals fading bullish conviction on Zcash, possibly due to changing market dynamics or risk management ahead of volatility.
🔥 HYPE Short Aggressively Increased
In a bold bearish move, the whale expanded his short position on $HYPE by 1,239,834 tokens, now valued at $53.23 million, with 5x leverage. This is a massive bet against the token, indicating strong conviction that HYPE is overvalued or poised for a correction.
💰 Profit Snapshot
Despite these aggressive moves, Loracle.hl's total profit remains near $37 million, underscoring his track record of successful trades.
Key Takeaway: This whale is pivoting away from established names like BTC and TON, while aggressively shorting HYPE. A clear signal that smart money is betting on downside in certain altcoins. Stay alert.

In the last 5 years since August 2020
> Strategy bought 818,334 BTC
> BlackRock bought 821,513 BTC
> Total of 1,639,847 BTC purchased
> In that same exact time period
> Total BTC mined 1,569,131 BTC
> Strategy and BlackRock bought 100%
Why are we still at $80,000 $BTC ????
